Mainstreet Survey: Conservatives in saddle in Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
If there is a place outside Beauce where the People’s Party of Maxime Bernier could have a chance to break through, we say right away that it must be Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, who has already sent a right-wing underdog to the House of Commons in André Arthur, not so long ago. But the riding does not seem ready to turn its back on the Conservative Party, which enjoys a large lead – far ahead of the Parti Populaire, which receives only 4% support.
Thisis at least what emerges from a Mainstreet survey conducted on behalf of Groupe Capitales Médias on September 13th. The outgoing MP, the Conservative Joel Godin, gets 48% of the voting intentions, against only 22% for the Liberal candidate Anne Talbot. Mathieu Bonsaint, who defends the colors of the Bloc Québécois, receives only 12% of the favor of Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, followed by the Green Party (7%), the People’s Party (4%) and the New Democratic Party (3, 5%).
Of note, Mr. Godin dominates in all demographic categories, both men (53% to 17) and women (44% to 28) and in all age groups with about 50% of voting intentions in the 18 to 64 age group. Among people aged 65 and over, however, he is statistically equal with his liberal rival (40% to 37). The Bloc Québécois is stronger in this age group (20%) than among the youngest.
This survey was conducted by automated calls to 654 adults in Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier, giving it a margin of error of ± 3.8% 19 times out of 20.
The riding elected radio host André Arthur twice, in 2006 and 2008. Mr. Arthur ran as an independent candidate, but his right-wing beliefs placed him close to the Conservative Party. Stephen Harper’s formation did not present a candidate in Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier in 2008 and 2011. That year, Mr. Arthur was swept away by the “orange wave” that swept over Quebec. . New Democrat Élaine Michaud lasted only one term, however, having been beaten by Mr. Godin in 2015.
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